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Autonomous Truck Market Size, Trends, Industry Forecast by 2030

Autonomous Truck Market By Level of Automation (Level 1, Level 2 & 3, Level 4, and Level 5), Propulsion (Diesel, Electric, and Hybrid), Application, Truck Class, ADAS Features, Sensor, and Region

The global Autonomous Trucks Market size is projected to reach USD 1,550 million by 2030, from USD 460 million in 2024, at a CAGR of 22.4%. The forecast period is from 2024 to 2030. The autonomous truck segment is considered to be the future of the trucking and transportation industry. Especially after the global pandemic of COVID-19, many e-commerce and shipping companies will be looking to develop autonomous truck deliveries to avoid human contact.

The global semi-autonomous truck market size is projected to reach 3,254 thousand units by 2025, from an estimated 948 thousand units in 2020, at a CAGR of 28.0%. The base year for the report is 2019, and the forecast period is from 2020 to 2025. The semi-autonomous truck segment has witnessed rapid evolution with governments across the world regulating advanced safety features such as AEB and BSD, and OEMs offering trucks with modern driver-assist features.

Top Players:

AB Volvo (Sweden), Robert Bosch (Germany), Continental AG (Germany), Denso (Japan), Aptiv (UK), Daimler (Germany), Paccar (US), Nvidia (US).

Top Start-ups:

Embark (US), Waymo (US), TuSimple (US), Tesla (US).

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North America is expected to lead the global market during the forecast period

North America is the technology leader in autonomous technology. The region is home to some of the leading technology developers, such as Waymo, Uber, Intel, and Embark. These companies are focusing on the development of autonomous technology. Also, in the US, the testing of autonomous vehicles has started in some states. This will create an opportunity for further development of autonomous trucks. For instance, Daimler tested its level 4 autonomous truck on the streets of Virginia, US. Also, the region is dominated by pickup trucks having advanced semi-autonomous driving features. Ford and GMC are some of the leading players offering pickup trucks in the country. Tesla will enter the market soon with its ‘Cybertruck’ having all the semi-autonomous features and an optional autonomous driving feature as well.

The last-mile delivery truck segment is expected to be the largest market during the forecast

Using autonomous last-mile delivery trucks can help companies save 40% of the total cost. Also, the shortage of human delivery drivers/personnel and increasing e-commerce will be driving the autonomous truck market for last-mile delivery applications. For instance, the E-commerce giant, Amazon, has been eyeing the usage of autonomous last-mile delivery technology to cut the delivery cost and has invested in many tech companies related to it as well. Waymo and Embark are some of the companies that have been involved in the development of such delivery truck technologies. Apart from this, the COVID-19 pandemic will drive the human contactless delivery of goods.

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The Asia Pacific is expected to be the fastest-growing market during the forecast period

The Asia Pacific is expected to be the fastest-growing semi-autonomous as well as in the autonomous truck market during the forecast period, owing to China and Japan’s rapid progress toward vehicle automation, especially mining and delivery trucks; and increasing safety regulations by various countries. For instance, South Korea’s Transport Ministry has made Autonomous Emergency Braking and Lane Departure Warning systems mandatory in passenger cars from January 2019 and in trucks and other vehicles from July 2021. Currently, both these systems are mandatory in more than 11-meter commercial vehicles and trucks and special vehicles weighing more than 20 tons.

Asia Pacific is expected to be a technology follower. Once a robust technology is created, the region will speedily adopt the technology. Also, Asia is the largest manufacturer of trucks and contributes more than 65% of the total number of trucks manufactured globally. Road safety concerns will further propel the growth of the autonomous truck market in the region. Also, the introduction of autonomous technologies in mining trucks would drive the Asia Pacific autonomous truck market, as China is the biggest mining country in the world

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